Calculators
Jul 21, 2026
Two Retirees, Same Average Return, Completely Different Outcomes — Sequence of Returns Risk Explained
Two retirees with identical average 7% returns over 25 years can have dramatically different outcomes purely based on when the bad years occurred — withdrawing during a market decline permanently removes capital that can never participate in the eventual recovery. Here's the mathematics of why sequence matters more than average, the "retirement red zone" concept, the bucket strategy that protects near-term spending from market timing, and how annuitisation eliminates sequence risk entirely for essential expenses.